wt360 Weather Brief 6 June '26 Hot then Cooler/Wetter Week Prior Father's Day
Captain's Log
6 June '26: Happy Saturday! :)
U.S. Drought still remains at the highest levels in 26+ years with 78% of the U.S. in dry to drought phases. Slow improvement likely this Summer and then rapid improvement this Fall and Winter. CLICK ON IMAGES FOR A LARGER VIEW.
Here at wt360 HQ this evening we got a severe line of thunderstorms that brought much needed rain, this line is heading toward New York City based on the wt360 Future Cast Radar.
Wildfires are NOT improving with 30,298 active fires and over 2.4M acres burned which is the most in over 10 years and +37% above average. This will be a theme in the West through Fall before El Niño rains begin to set up in the West.
El Niño continues to rapidly intensify and very likely this will be at least a top 3 strongest event.
The only catch is the broader Pacific Ocean is also warm so it will be interesting to see just how active this event becomes for flooding rainfall in the U.S. over the next 6-12 months.
Still very likely that a flooding theme will replace drought and fires by late Summer/Fall.
Last week (31 May - 6 Jun) across the World shows the U.S. trending +0.7F warmer than last year and 12th warmest of the past 41 years. However, hot 90F days were down -6%, least in 9 years and 20th least in 41 years (below average). Rainfall was down 18% vs a year ago, driest in 3 years and 9th driest of the past 41 years. These are favorable trends for late Spring merchandise sales, although hot Summer categories like AC and Pool Supplies maybe soft. It was excessively wet across the U.K., Europe and Russia with the #1 wettest conditions in 41 years. This dampens demand for Spring seasonal sales.
Severe weather had a bit of a lull, only adding 29 tornadoes, 253 hail events and 598 wind events over the past week. All categories are trending well below last year's levels with Tornadoes the least in 5 years, hail least in 4 years and wind the least in 3 years.
The week ahead severe weather outlook shows the severe weather moving through the Northeast Saturday and then shifting back into the Upper Plains.
This week (7-13 June) may cannibalize some Father's Day sales with a hot week. National temperatures trend +2.6F warmer than last year, warmest in 5 years and 2nd warmest in 41 years. Hot 90F days are also up for a change +30% vs last year and 7th most in 41 years, while rainfall is down -7% vs LY, but still 15th wettest of the past 41 years. These are favorable trends for Spring and early Summer merchandise sales.
1 June started the 2026 Hurricane Season, but there is a lot of windshear and Sub-Sahara Africa dust that will suppress activity in the near term. Very likely this is a below average season with El Nino windshear suppressing activity and likely limiting really intense tropical systems.
Next week (14-20 June) Prior Father's Day shows a strong cold front invading the Central U.S. that will reach the East Coast late in the week.
The U.S. overall trends -1.7F cooler than last year, coolest in 3 years and 13th warmest of the past 41 years. The heat returns to the Northwest. Hot 90F days are way down -35% vs LY, least in 3 years and 13th least in 41 years, while rainfall is up +9% vs last year, wettest in 7 years and 9th wettest in 41 years. These are very soft trends for Father's Day seasonal merchandise sales.
The World 2-week Temperature Outlook (7-20 June) is a bit misleading in the U.S. with a transient pattern of cool to hot back to cool with large swings in temperatures. Central and Eastern Europe are cool suppressing seasonal sales and consumable like cold beverages. Very warm late Fall weather in Australia will delay their FLU season.
The World 2-week Precipitation Outlook (7-20 June) shows an increasingly wet pattern in the Central and Eastern U.S. and wet across Canada and Eastern Europe. Brazil also very wet for their 2nd season crops. Combined with the wet pattern in the Central U.S. Corn Belt, Corn prices likely to continue falling.
You can get this blog/video in your email inbox every Saturday (FREE) via subscription.
Have a great week ahead, and don't forget to follow us on social media for updates: Facebook, Twitter(X), YouTube, Pinterest and Linkedin.
- Captain Kirk out (USAF Gulf War Veteran 1989-1999)
U.S. Drought still remains at the highest levels in 26+ years with 78% of the U.S. in dry to drought phases. Slow improvement likely this Summer and then rapid improvement this Fall and Winter. CLICK ON IMAGES FOR A LARGER VIEW.
Here at wt360 HQ this evening we got a severe line of thunderstorms that brought much needed rain, this line is heading toward New York City based on the wt360 Future Cast Radar.
Wildfires are NOT improving with 30,298 active fires and over 2.4M acres burned which is the most in over 10 years and +37% above average. This will be a theme in the West through Fall before El Niño rains begin to set up in the West.
El Niño continues to rapidly intensify and very likely this will be at least a top 3 strongest event.
The only catch is the broader Pacific Ocean is also warm so it will be interesting to see just how active this event becomes for flooding rainfall in the U.S. over the next 6-12 months.
Still very likely that a flooding theme will replace drought and fires by late Summer/Fall.
Last week (31 May - 6 Jun) across the World shows the U.S. trending +0.7F warmer than last year and 12th warmest of the past 41 years. However, hot 90F days were down -6%, least in 9 years and 20th least in 41 years (below average). Rainfall was down 18% vs a year ago, driest in 3 years and 9th driest of the past 41 years. These are favorable trends for late Spring merchandise sales, although hot Summer categories like AC and Pool Supplies maybe soft. It was excessively wet across the U.K., Europe and Russia with the #1 wettest conditions in 41 years. This dampens demand for Spring seasonal sales.
Severe weather had a bit of a lull, only adding 29 tornadoes, 253 hail events and 598 wind events over the past week. All categories are trending well below last year's levels with Tornadoes the least in 5 years, hail least in 4 years and wind the least in 3 years.
The week ahead severe weather outlook shows the severe weather moving through the Northeast Saturday and then shifting back into the Upper Plains.
This week (7-13 June) may cannibalize some Father's Day sales with a hot week. National temperatures trend +2.6F warmer than last year, warmest in 5 years and 2nd warmest in 41 years. Hot 90F days are also up for a change +30% vs last year and 7th most in 41 years, while rainfall is down -7% vs LY, but still 15th wettest of the past 41 years. These are favorable trends for Spring and early Summer merchandise sales.
1 June started the 2026 Hurricane Season, but there is a lot of windshear and Sub-Sahara Africa dust that will suppress activity in the near term. Very likely this is a below average season with El Nino windshear suppressing activity and likely limiting really intense tropical systems.
Next week (14-20 June) Prior Father's Day shows a strong cold front invading the Central U.S. that will reach the East Coast late in the week.
The U.S. overall trends -1.7F cooler than last year, coolest in 3 years and 13th warmest of the past 41 years. The heat returns to the Northwest. Hot 90F days are way down -35% vs LY, least in 3 years and 13th least in 41 years, while rainfall is up +9% vs last year, wettest in 7 years and 9th wettest in 41 years. These are very soft trends for Father's Day seasonal merchandise sales.
The World 2-week Temperature Outlook (7-20 June) is a bit misleading in the U.S. with a transient pattern of cool to hot back to cool with large swings in temperatures. Central and Eastern Europe are cool suppressing seasonal sales and consumable like cold beverages. Very warm late Fall weather in Australia will delay their FLU season.
The World 2-week Precipitation Outlook (7-20 June) shows an increasingly wet pattern in the Central and Eastern U.S. and wet across Canada and Eastern Europe. Brazil also very wet for their 2nd season crops. Combined with the wet pattern in the Central U.S. Corn Belt, Corn prices likely to continue falling.
You can get this blog/video in your email inbox every Saturday (FREE) via subscription.
Have a great week ahead, and don't forget to follow us on social media for updates: Facebook, Twitter(X), YouTube, Pinterest and Linkedin.
- Captain Kirk out (USAF Gulf War Veteran 1989-1999)