wt360 Weather Brief 21 Mar '26 Stormy Pattern Ahead - NE Cool Spot

Captain's Log
21 Mar '26 Happy Saturday :)



As of yesterday 20 March 2026, it's officially Spring. It's been Summer in the West while the Northeast hangs onto the coolest spot. CLICK ON IMAGES FOR A LARGER VIEW

Team360 will be heading to the DOMO'Palooza AI Data Conference next week, one of the best conferences for real world business applications of AI solutions that work. Still time to register.

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Easter Week prior looks to hold the same general pattern with the East Coast, the least favorable spot, very warm Central Plains and warm West. Easter week-prior this year (29 Mar - 4 Apr) compared to last year (13-19 Apr) trends -2.1F cooler but still 3rd warmest of the past 41 years. Rainfall is way up +299% vs last year and a top 3 wettest in 41 years for the U.S. overall. Warm/dry is ideal, but the wet will be a big dampening factor for the Eastern half of the country with snow for New England.

LOG 1 (1)

Last week (15-21 Mar) across the World shows the U.S. trending +0.4F warmer than last year, warmest in 4 years and 11th warmest of the past 41 years. Rainfall was up +16% nationally vs LY and 18th most of the past 41 years, while snowfall was way up +195% vs last year, most in 9 years and 6th most in 41 years. The same general theme of favorable Spring merchandise weather West and soft trends East. Canada was very cold and #1 wettest, while Europe was warm with near average rainfall. This time of year, warm/dry is best for Spring seasonal merchandise sales, store traffic and overall equity performance.

LOG 2 (1)

Flu continued to fall, down -24% vs this time last year. This is a minor positive for better store traffic with fewer sick people.

LOG 3 (1)

Season-to-date snowfall ticked up after the big Midwest blizzard with seasonal snowfall trending +17% more than last year, most in 5 years, 15th least in 41 years and -9% below average. The East Coast will end up the bigger winner with the most in 8 years, most in 3 years for the North Central while the West is generally the least in over 41 years.

LOG 4 (1)

Cold sub 32F days nationally is similar to last year, down -0.7% and 6th least in 41 years.

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U.S. weekly snowfall shows the late January period was the snowiest followed by the 3 consecutive snowy weeks in late November - early December.

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The Polar Vortex is starting it's typical Spring collapse, but over the next couple weeks it continues to favor Canada and the Northeast U.S. where the colder trends will continue.

LOG 7 (1)

This week (22-28Mar) shows Summer West and lingering Winter in New England. This U.S. overall trends +1.3F warmer than last year, warmest in 14 years and 4th warmest in 41 years. Snowfall still up +27% vs last year and 16th least of the past 41 years, while rainfall is down -27% vs last year, least in 13 years and 4th driest in 41 years. The Ohio Valley and the Northeast are the wet spots dampening overall Spring sales.

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The 6-day snowfall outlook (21-26 Mar) shows 23% of the U.S. getting some snow favoring the Great Lakes into New England.

LOG 9 (1)

Next week (29 Mar - 4 Apr) week prior-Easter turns much stormier with rainfall down -31% vs last year's record wet conditions, but it's still 3rd wettest in over 41 years. Snowfall down -39% vs LY, least in 5 years and 14th least in 41 years. National temperatures up +4.5F, warmest in 14 years and 3rd warmest in 41 years. The rain will be the dampening factor from Texas to Chicago into the Northeast. The Northeast is the least favorable region, Southwest the best followed by the Southeast.

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The 2-week World Temperature Outlook (22 Mar - 4 Apr) shows Winter hanging on for Canada and the Northeast and a cooling trend in Europe. The rest of the U.S. is very warm.

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The 2-week World Precipitation Outlook (22 Mar - 4 Apr) shows a stormy pattern from the Central U.S. into the East and continued wet across Brazil.

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- Captain Kirk out (USAF Gulf War Veteran 1989-1999)

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