Captain's Log 9 July '22 Hot & Dry Pattern

Saturday 9 July 2022: Happy Saturday! :)

A recap of Last Week (3-9 July) around the World shows the U.S. trending +1.2F warmer than last year and 4th warmest of the past 37 years with much above average national temperatures. Rainfall was -27% drier than last year, driest in 3 years, but still 11th wettest of the past 37 years with above average national rainfall. CLICK ON IMAGES FOR A LARGER VIEW.



Australia was the cold spot trending coldest in 10 years and much below average temperatures for their Winter. Canada was the coolest in 6 years. China the hot spot trending the hottest in over 37 years.



With Australia having the coldest Winter in 15 years and wettest in 6 years, Flu is much above average, and much more than the historically low seasons the past couple years. The predominant strain is Type A which is a sign of what to expect here in the U.S. as our season begins in late Fall. Weather Trends provides a short term and year-ahead Allergy, Asthma and Flu suffering index on our partner Allergy & Asthma Network to help you better plan for the seasons ahead: https://allergyasthmanetwork.org/weather/



Dry to drought conditions have expanded in the U.S. into the Southeast, but a wetter pattern in the Southeast will help a bit. Currently, 70% of the U.S. is in dry to drought phases with the South Central U.S. baking. Last year 58% of the country was in dry to drought phases vs an average of 45% for this time of year. Drought likely to worsen over the couple weeks with a drier pattern setting up.



This week (10-16 July) shows the U.S. trending +1.4F warmer than last year, warmest in 3 years and 4th warmest in 37 years. These are favorable trends for higher sales for volatile Summer categories like AC, Auto Batteries - they fail in hot weather, Antifreeze, Auto front end belts and hoses, cold beverages, etc. Rainfall down -53% vs last year, least in 20 years and 5th least in 37 years. The wet spot is the Southeast where expanding drought will get some much needed relief. Continued very hot/dry in the South Central Plains.



Next week (17-23 July) the dog days of Summer with the U.S. +3.5F warmer than last year, warmest in 11 years and 2nd warmest in 37 years. Another very strong week for Auto battery failures in the Central U.S. Stormy spots remain in the interior Southeast. Drought will expand significantly in the South Central Plains - Texas with the U.S. overall likely to have the driest 3rd week of July in over 37 years.



The 2-week World Outlook (10-23 July) shows the hot/dry conditions both in the U.S. and Europe. Cold Winter trends continue in Australia.



We hope you have a great week, and don't forget to follow us on social media: Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, Pinterest and Linkedin.

- Captain Kirk out. USAF Gulf War Veteran 1989-1999