Captain's Log 4 May '20 Coldest Mother's Day in 35+ Years!

Happy Monday! :)

We hope you enjoyed the near record heat in the East yesterday as it's going going gone this week! We hit 81F on Sunday, our first 80 of the year. CLICK ON IMAGES FOR A LARGER VIEW.



April 2020 is in the history books and the U.S. overall trended 2.4F colder than last year making it the 8th coldest of the past 35 years nationally. Rainfall was 13% drier than last year but still 9th wettest of the past 35 years. Very warm/dry in Europe and Central Siberia. China to the Middle East generally on the cool side.



The dry weather is expanding this Spring with the nation now showing 29% of the U.S. in dry to drought conditions vs only 11% this time last year. We expect this to continue expanding to near 50% later this Fall and over 60% into 2021.



This week (4-10 May) shows the dramatic change from the hot weekend in the East with the nation trending 3.4F colder than last year making it the #1 coldest in over 35 years. Rainfall is on the lighter side trending drier than last year and 12th driest in 35 years.



Mother's Day weekend (COLD!) Coldest in over 35 years for much of the U.S. while the West Coast is the warmest in 7 years and 3rd warmest in 35 years.



Widespread and frequent hard freezes likely over the next 10 days in the Northeast which present very high risk for fruit tree crops like apples, peaches and grapes from Michigan to even Virginia. Weather Trends YEAR-AHEAD DAILY forecast has been trending at 84% accurate in the Northeast this Spring accurately capturing the very warm March but now cooler April and May trends.



Next week (11-17 May) same general pattern of cold East, warm West but the MJO Cycle 4 Phase and very negative EPO phase should relax a bit with milder trends later in the week. The week overall is still 1.5F cooler than last year for the U.S. overall, coolest in 4 years and 7th coolest in 35 years. Driest in 3 years but still 13th wettest of the past 35 years.



We hope you have a great Mother's Day weekend despite the big chill. Don't forget to follow us on social media for frequent updates:

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- Captain Kirk out.